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document updated 3 months ago, on Dec 28, 2023

Possible parallels to political tension in 2022 - 2023 United States

In most of the examples below, political violence actually did break out. I'm not predicting that will be the case. Rather, I'm trying to find examples of what things would be like, if things continue to get worse.

when where name what was conflict about outcome sources
1876 USA 1876 US presidential election widespread allegations of electoral fraud and threats of election violence the end of Reconstruction (TODO)
1824 USA 1824 US presidential election none of the candidates won a majority of the electoral vote the end of the Era of Good Feelings and the First Party System (TODO)
2019 Bolivia 2019 Bolivian political crisis dispute over who won the election, with one side labeling it a "coup d'état" two massacres, 33 killed, 715 injured [1]
2016-present Israel Trial of Benjamin Netanyahu prosecution of the then-current prime minister (whose politics align pretty closely with Trump's) protests and political crisis [1]
1960s-1998 Northern Ireland The Troubles an ethno-political conflict, partly involving the decision of whether Northern Ireland should continue being part of the United Kingdom or whether it should unify with the rest of Ireland 3532 killed, 47,000 injured [1]
1973 Chile 1973 Chilean coup d'état a military coup brought an end to decades of democratic governance thousands killed [1]
1854-1958 Kansas Territory Bleeding Kansas whether the new state of Kansas would be admitted as a slave state or free state several violent skirmishes, 20-30 killed, ~180 injured [1]

See also my website's section on a potential civil war in the US.