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document updated 15 years ago, on Jan 5, 2009

Outstanding:

Senator from Minnesota (Franken v Coleman) — Franken(D) certified as the winner, though Coleman says he'll contest it in court.
~~Senator from Georgia (Chambliss v Martin)~~ — Runoff was held, Chambliss(R) won handidly.
~~Senator from Alaska (Stevens v Begich)~~ — Begich(D) won.
~~California Prop 8 — passed~~, now moved into the litigation phase
~~Senator from Oregon (Smith v Merkley)~~ — Merkley(D) won

Voter Supression Wiki
ignore exit polls
long writeup by the FiveThirtyEight.com guy
awesome Daily Kos map

presidential scenarios (poll closing times are in CST)

McCain must win all of: Georgia (8pm), Indiana (8pm), ~Ohio (8:30pm), ~North Carolina (8:30pm), Florida (9pm), Missouri (9pm), Montana (11pm).

Obama win scenarios (these become important if there's a significant tightening of the race; most likely he'll win by a wide margin):

Win Pennsylvania (9pm)	and any one of	Virginia (8pm), Ohio (8:30pm), Colorado (10pm), or Nevada (11pm).
Win Ohio (8:30pm)	and either	Virginia (8pm) or Colorado (10pm).
Win Colorado (10pm)	and both of	Virginia (8pm) and Nevada (11pm).

historically:
- Virginia — Republican last ten elections
- Pennsylvania — Democrat last four elections
- Colorado — Republican last three elections
- Missouri — it's voted for the winner in every race since 1904 (except for the 1956 race)

senate scenarios

Democrats+Independents have 55 safe seats.

Lean democrat (net Dem+I 58 total):
NH, 98% (9pm)	Shaheen(D) v Sununu(R)
OR, 88% (12pm)	Merkley(D) v Smith(R)
NC, 78% (8:30pm)	Hagan(D) v Dole(R)

Tossup (would net Dem+I 59 total):
MN, 52% (10pm)	Franken(D) v Coleman(R)

Lean Republican
GA, 12% (8pm)	Martin(R) v Chambliss(D)
KY, 8% (8pm)	Lunsford(R) v McConnell(D)
MS, 6% (9pm)	Musgrove(R) v Wicker(D)